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Sunday, March 16, 2025

Repealing the CHIPS Act could dramatically shrink US chip market share, analysts say

Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump called on Republican legislators to revoke the CHIPS and Science Act that was passed during the previous Biden administration, as he considers it a waste of taxpayers’ money. Republican lawmakers were not exactly enthusiastic about the proposal, as their districts have benefited from investments already made by leading chipmakers. Also, the U.S. government remains legally obliged to distribute already allocated funds ($39 billion), so leading companies that plan to build fabs in the U.S. will get their money.

Supporting this reticence, Bloomberg recalled an earlier prediction of the Semiconductor Industry Association that the U.S. market share on the semiconductor market would have dropped below 10% if it had not been for the CHIPS and Science Act. It suggests that the Trump administration should probably think twice before revoking the law.

$450 billion at stake

The CHIPS and Science Act, enacted in 2022 under President Biden, is a $52 billion strategy to strengthen U.S. semiconductor manufacturing and reduce reliance specifically on Asian suppliers. The Act provides $39 billion in grants to boost chip manufacturing, $11 billion for research and development, and a 25% tax credit for manufacturing projects. Companies can also access up to $75 billion in loans and guarantees.

The tax credit is projected to cost over $85 billion in government revenue, surpassing original estimates and reflecting significant investment levels. Trump argues that tariffs would better encourage domestic investment while generating federal revenue and plans to introduce new tariffs on semiconductor imports by April 2025. Some believe that TSMC’s commitment to invest an additional $100 billion in its U.S. campus was a way to avoid the imposition of tariffs on chips made in Taiwan.

However, the enactment of the law has already driven nearly $450 billion in private investment by leading semiconductor companies, including Intel, GlobalFoundries, Micron, Samsung, SK hynix, Texas Instruments, and TSMC, just to name a few. To secure their grants and tax credits, these companies signed contracts with the federal government and must comply with a number of regulations. By contrast, TSMC’s commitment seems to be a plan that can change and is not legally binding.

Political Hurdles

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